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According to the forecast, croatia’s gdp is expected to grow by 3.2% in 2025 before easing to 2.9% in 2026 Fitch ratings expects growth to ease to 3.2% in 2025, amid moderating private consumption and investment growth, and heightened external uncertainty. This remains well above the eu average of 1.4% and the eurozone’s 1.3% this year.
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Following an expansion by 3.8% in 2024, croatia’s gross domestic product (gdp) growth is expected to remain solid, thanks to robust household consumption supported by rising real disposable incomes, but to slow down gradually, from 3.2% in 2025, to 2.9% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027, the commission said in its autumn 2025 economic forecast. The croatian economy has continued to outperform regional peers in 2024 In 2025, gdp is forecast to expand by 3.2%
Growth is expected to be mainly driven by private consumption, underpinned by real wage and employment growth
Investment growth is projected to continue, although at a slower pace, sustained by sizeable absorption of eu funds, notably from the rrf. The european bank for reconstruction and development (ebrd) has revised upwards its outlook for croatia’s economy, projecting gdp growth of 3.2% in 2025 — up 0.3 percentage points from its may forecast The upgrade is partly attributed to a strong tourism season. Croatia’s gdp is expected to remain strong, supported by solid household consumption and rising real disposable income
Growth is forecast to gradually ease from 3.2% in 2025 to 2.9% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027 Employment is also set to expand, with the unemployment rate staying below 5%.
